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超算预测英冠:蓝狐利兹联直升英超大热门 罗瑟汉姆100%降级

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超算预测英冠:蓝狐利兹联直升英超大热门 罗瑟汉姆100%降级

4月5日讯 英冠联赛在北京时间4月2日结束了第40轮争夺(41轮将在4月6日开打),数据机构opta超级计算机对本赛季英冠升降级情况、各队最终排名等数据进行了预测。

升级方面,超级计算机预测莱斯特城是最大热门,获得本赛季英冠冠军的概率为43.26%,前二(即直升下赛季英超)的概率为75.32%;opta认为利兹联更有可能是另一个直升下赛季英超的球队。

超级计算机具体预测如下(获得本赛季英冠冠军概率、位列本赛季英冠积分榜前二概率):

莱斯特城:43.26%;75.32%

利兹联:34.04%;68.84%

伊普斯维奇:22.52%;54.92%

南安普顿:0.18%;0.92%

opta超级计算机进行了10000次赛季模拟,以预测本赛季英冠的最终积分情况。在这10000次模拟中,前三名的平均积分相差很小(莱斯特城为98.3分、利兹联97.4分、伊普斯维奇97.1分),这也显示本赛季英冠直升下赛季英超的名额(即积分榜前二)的争夺异常激烈。

在此预测下,四支进入附加赛的球队为伊普斯维奇、南安普顿、西布朗以及诺维奇,当前排名垫底的罗瑟汉姆已基本确定降级。

降级球队方面,opta超级计算机预测,罗瑟汉姆(目前垫底,距倒数第二16分)将100%降级,另外两个降级球队大概率是谢周三以及哈德斯菲尔德。

opta预测本赛季英冠球队降级概率:

罗瑟汉姆:100%

谢周三:72.98%

哈德斯菲尔德:51.54%

伯明翰:30.5%

普利茅斯:22.38%

米尔沃尔:8.4%

布莱克本:7%

斯托克城:4.08%

女王公园巡游者:2.94%

斯旺西:0.18%

opta对本赛季英冠各队排名的预测(概率):

当前英冠积分榜:

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